Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.096565 0.111496 0.127972 0.147503 0.170030 0.195205 0.225485
2026-02-01 0.069843 0.089011 0.112318 0.142755 0.181485 0.229171 0.292430
2026-02-08 0.057885 0.079042 0.106574 0.145046 0.197489 0.266592 0.364785
2026-02-15 0.049239 0.071122 0.101213 0.145650 0.209716 0.298938 0.433034
2026-02-22 0.043213 0.065524 0.097705 0.147552 0.222994 0.333217 0.507129
2026-03-01 0.037248 0.058983 0.091695 0.144575 0.228156 0.355610 0.565651
2026-03-08 0.032608 0.053718 0.086748 0.142265 0.233557 0.378323 0.626566
2026-03-15 0.029550 0.050498 0.084476 0.143685 0.244692 0.410778 0.706287
2026-03-22 0.027935 0.049406 0.085429 0.150364 0.265023 0.460080 0.819371
2026-03-29 0.026106 0.047690 0.085068 0.154634 0.281523 0.504420 0.928623
2026-04-05 0.024368 0.045899 0.084329 0.158049 0.296721 0.547840 1.040809
2026-04-12 0.022530 0.043696 0.082569 0.159324 0.308002 0.585158 1.145566
2026-04-19 0.020418 0.040765 0.079216 0.157349 0.313181 0.612175 1.234806
2026-04-26 0.018178 0.037330 0.074539 0.152284 0.311803 0.626568 1.301072
2026-05-03 0.017038 0.035955 0.073703 0.154729 0.325603 0.672038 1.435254
2026-05-10 0.015830 0.034293 0.072096 0.155372 0.335695 0.710953 1.560030
2026-05-17 0.014877 0.033056 0.071212 0.157402 0.348860 0.757475 1.706202
2026-05-24 0.013559 0.030872 0.068091 0.154226 0.350330 0.779173 1.799987
2026-05-31 0.012437 0.028996 0.065433 0.151761 0.353063 0.803808 1.903053
2026-06-07 0.011728 0.027983 0.064574 0.153276 0.365003 0.850163 2.061658
2026-06-14 0.011476 0.028009 0.066060 0.160402 0.390805 0.930841 2.311010
2026-06-21 0.011056 0.027583 0.066455 0.164959 0.410943 1.000335 2.541032
2026-06-28 0.010602 0.027026 0.066476 0.168603 0.429233 1.067275 2.772308